2017, LED filament lamp last bend

The New Year bell has long gone, with the time we came to the Erlingyiqi year debate that a prospect of filament lamp seems echoed in the Lao Wang heart, but the reality is cruel to the Chaoyang products step by step to drag the red sea.

When asked how the filament lamp prospects today, I will send him a big smile; but if someone asked me whether this can enter the filament lamp field, I prefer to send him a corner tilted 45 degrees upward at the strange.

Lao Wang believes that 2017 will be the last corner of the filament lamp field.

Rough estimate, in 2016 the total number of filament lamp about 250 million, this is what concept? Said the market has more than doubled compared to 2015 growth; said the market's rapid rise almost has the ability to dividend allocated to each industry participants; expressed relative to the bulb volume, filament lamp still accounted for less than 10% of the share; said the industry basically into the trunk road; said as a filament lamp enterprises mister, you should ask the other LED brothers to eat a meal, because your life is much more comfortable than others.

When the time into 2017, the market will further change. Market capacity will continue to have the opportunity to further expand in 2016 to enter the double filament lamp international brands will inevitably seek market capacity; and failed to enter the brand, most will give up on the sidelines, within one year of launching shoes. In this demand pull effect, the market is not much suspense. So in 2017 the total capacity of filament lamp will reach 4-5 billion.

For many filament lamp factory, whether have the opportunity to cut the big cake? Pharaoh thought not. The market is often cold-blooded, the greater the concentration of the higher the capacity is a constant truth. Lao Wang has experienced in 2011 to 2013 Shenzhen bulb factory was historical stage when LED bloodbath, a wide range of energy-saving lamp bulb replacement, dance for joy people throughout the country at the same time, it brings the East and Fujian Dachang fast force, prices plummeted. So many Shenzhen bulb factory littered with corpses, blood.

History is similar, when the total capacity of the filament lamp more than 500 million per year, the story will repeat itself, then the size of the management of the enterprise will be directly rolling mill, the consequences are far worse than today's competition.

Lao Wang bold assumption, if the market capacity in 2018 exceeded 500 million, a few oligarchs will have the power to carry out the reshuffle, small-scale management of small factories are facing weak. So 2017 is the last year of the filament lamp corner overtaking. Dear colleagues, perhaps in an alarmist, but Wang still want more with local advantages of a small factory in this year to turn to overtake, at least for now the market is still confusion, still set up a customer information asymmetry, leave the details of advantage is not so difficult.

If your design ability is better, if your customer service if you have some cattle, strong cost control, so please take this year's time the advantages of this enhancement, quickly enter the mainstream camp scale management. Once the filament lamp market into the real trunk road, all the above advantages will be shared by the industry, I hope everyone can become a member of the giants. (author: Wang Peng)

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