In 2017 six LED supply and demand market trends and analysis - LEDinside

TrendForce's green energy division of LEDinside's new "2017-2021 LED industry supply and demand database shows that 2017 six LED supply and demand market trends and market demand analysis, including the IT display market trends, lighting market trends, automotive lighting market trend display, market trends, market trend analysis and infrared LED; LED the supply of the market.

Topic: IT display market application

1.1 TV market trends

Due to the wide gamut of market demand, a variety of ways to enhance the color saturation of the launched out of the city, including KSF or QD Film to enhance the color saturation, can reach 2020 80-85% BT. A TV can be seen in 2017, Nichia launched the first 4014 B+G LED collocation KSF phosphors, BT 2020 can reach 80%-85%, it is expected that other Korean manufacturers will continue to fast track.

Direct type LED TV is still using flip chip LED products, CSP LED mainly by the Han factory launched in 2016 1313 / 1616 LED products, 2017 will be 1111 / 1313 LED. LEDinside HDR estimates with the market demand, will be able to speed up the CSP LED product introduction.

Advanced technology of other TV applications including QLED, OLED, Laser TV, also has new progress in 2017. QLED TV stands for Samsung, TCL and Hisense; and Chinese LG TV brand factory is to support OLED TV.

1.2 projector market trends

Business projector market to maintain the stability of the annual total shipments in 700~800 million units. However, with the decline in the cost of LCD TV, size continued to enlarge, now you can see the 80 inch TV commercial import and school education space, plus 80 inch touch touch panel Market collocation scheme in Chinese market gradually rise, commercial projector shipments decreased year by year, in 2020 reached only 6 million units shipments forecast.

The projector is mainly used for indoor commercial meeting rooms, school education space and so on, the luminous flux concentrated in 2000lm-3000lm, is the largest, followed by 3000lm-4000lm. Because the light source technology continues to increase, coupled with the image brightness is positive, so the brightness demand increased year by year. Forecast to 2020 more than 3000lm market share will reach 43%.

There are metal halogen lamp, UHE and UHP three kinds of commonly used projector bulb, the general life of approximately 6000 hours. Commercial projector above 2000lm at the present stage, the main light source is still dominated by the traditional light bulb, but because of the traditional light bulb but life is short and energy consumption, thus gradually replaced by new type of light source, such as LED or laser light source.

The LED light source, the brightness and heat dissipation of LED is still a bottleneck, it is currently the main consumer market and home theater below 2000lm, with the decline in the cost of future and promote technology, will gradually get into the 3000lm market; laser brightness and color saturation of product life and has the advantage, as the only drawback high price. However, the laser source with brightness contrast, long service life, the projector design more light, laser light source in 2020 will reach 30% of the estimated market penetration.

Topic two: lighting market trend

2.1 of the global COB and Chinese revenue ranking

At present, the leading global COB market is still the international manufacturers, and China manufacturers also continued to launch new products to seize market share. The top five were Citizen, CREE, Lumileds, Nichia, Samsung. China manufacturers ranked face manufacturers revenue expansion speed under the influence, with a slightly different ranking in 2015.

The 2.2 stage lamp application market

In 2017, the global LED dance lamp market scale reached 740 million dollars, an increase of 14%, the next few years the growth rate slowed down, but still maintain a sustained growth. To 2020, is expected to grow to more than $1 billion. At present, LED stage light penetration rate of around 39%, to 2020, penetration will reach 50%.

At present, OSRAM, as well as sferic billion light manufacturers have launched stage lighting related products, including monochrome and color mixing, high brightness and high efficiency.

The main technical standard LED stage lamp comprises a radiating light distribution and light control, quality management. LED stage light compared to the traditional stage, has its incomparable advantages, such as more energy, more color, fresh Yan long service life and convenient use; at the same time will also face higher costs, than a single variety and quality uneven challenges.

Topic three: automotive lighting market trend

The traditional passenger car market forecast?

Chinese with average power of LED is the slightly lower, and the use of low power source LED's attitude is higher than the international average to positive, so the use of a number of general practice than to high.

Also because the average number of pieces of headlights in 2017 Chinese for 10, using a number of 2020 will gradually decline, 2021 estimated value of $881 million (the distance light 2015~2021 CAGR: 48%).

The light guide plate pulled into the tail light proportion, joint will increase the original market (OE Market) in the use of a number of RCL, the average number of teeth in the China for 35 LED products.

? the new energy vehicle market scale forecast

The highest growth rate: headlights for the new energy passenger car, because the car brand sales are more concentrated, the economic scale is higher, so the new energy vehicles in the LED into the highest chance.

Chinese for passenger car lamp regulations consistent with the requirements of electric vehicles, therefore must also comply with the general passenger car headlamp lighting regulations, because the low permeability and high price, in 2017 the output value is still 2 million 300 thousand dollars, all new energy passenger cars with the highest LED value