2009 overall LED industry will maintain positive growth

First half of the 2009 global economic recovery is not clear, consumer demand strength is not strong, the terminal consumer electronic products demand is still weak. The current downturn in global recovery can not instantly, but the topology Research Institute (TRI) estimates that in 2009 the overall LED industry is still positive growth, rising the supporting industry growth momentum mainly from penetration of LEDNB.

In the market on the occasion of the dark unknown, topology Research Institute Huang Yalin believes, has the advantage of energy saving of the LED industry in the government and manufacturers to seek innovative products and stimulate business opportunities, become the core industries dominate the market this year; there will be three major explosive LED industry this year, respectively, LED street lamp, outdoor display screen and the backlight module of large LED display market.

LED street the most significant growth opportunities

LED light conversion efficiency is high, and has low power consumption, small volume, light weight, long life and no mercury, no radiation green environmental advantages, with a wide range of applications, including local lighting, backlight, building (landscape) lighting, traffic lighting, medical and agricultural animal husbandry and Fisheries light, is the reason for manufacturers and users favored.

The factory is committed to enhance the optical efficiency of LED, has gradually break through the traditional efficient light source development limited, the LED luminous efficiency has reached into the general lighting market, is expected in 2010 will exceed the LED luminous efficiency of all the traditional light source, the market officially entered the commercialization stage.

In addition, policy driven is a big power, 2010~2014 years for incandescent lamps all over the world and disable the FMCT policy implementation period, so in 2009 the governments in order to make the subsequent implementation of the policy, to replace traditional outdoor lamp source. To China as an example, this Chinese expansion of "ten city lights" plan, Shenzhen, Chongqing, Chengdu, Tianjin, Mianyang, Zhengzhou and other 21 large and medium-sized city as the city approved the plan, the official policy makes clear definition of product specifications and rules of the market, LED has become an important one of the selected products.

Topology Research Institute evaluation, in 2009 the global LED market demand huge potential of 2 million 500 thousand street lamp, the annual growth of 178%, which accounted for more than 50% China (about 1 million 400 thousand light), jump growth for this year is always the key manufacturers need to actively layout of the year.

But LED in the lighting market officially entered the mainstream, the cost is the biggest obstacle, 2010 LED with traditional lighting is still 10 times the price difference in the cost of light source, fear after 2020 with the mainstream LED fluorescent lamp can achieve the same cost of light source, to make LED lighting lamps and fell to existing like competition the price, still depend on the manufacturers cost down.

But, because of the popularity of LED is prior to LED industry represent the general trend, should start from the most suitable niche market into LED source characteristics of play, and then gradually expand to the general lighting applications market.

LED outdoor display waves

Of the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games LED large screen show an exemplary role for the Chinese find everything fresh and new, highlighting the power of science and technology China and drives the development of semiconductor lighting industry, the Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Commission and the World Expo Group signed LED lighting project cooperation, look forward to the 2010 Shanghai World Expo LED lighting and outdoor large screen display can be more widely used.

This year, various manufacturers to look forward to bring Shanghai Expo China the new market opportunities, Huang Yalin forecast 2009 Chinese LED display screen, the output value will reach 13 billion 700 million yuan, the annual growth of 37%, the market for LED products in many applications the most clear project opportunities.

LED backlight development potential flash

Of NB products, the LED and CCFL panel price of only $5, so the LED backlight applications gradually from the higher-order models of products to low-end models into the past two years, the growth trend is very alarming, in 2008 LEDNB penetration, although only 14%, but the topology Research Institute estimated the data will be in the rapid growth in 2009 to 60%, plus the panel and the backlight module factory in the second quarter of this year LEDNB shipments accounted for as high as 70%, 2010 is expected to fully penetrate up to 95%.

A number of 35 to 40 calculation by NB on average, in 2009 the number of NB backlight demand of LED reached 3 billion 721 million, compared with last year, 648 million, with a substantial increase in the number, the annual growth rate of more rapid presentation 474%. As for the introduction of development status of Monitor and LCDTV is not clear, the topology Research Institute continues to closely observe, can determine that the 2010 development trend of large LED backlight will become clear, from all walks of life can expect the LED industry after the potential.

Note: use a 30 NetBook average number calculation, using a 45 NB average of hundreds of calculation, LEDTV average 500 star hundreds of calculation.