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2009 technology industry boom is still dazzling LED

The topology Research Institute TRI analysis of 2009 LED application trends, that decline LGP technology breakthrough plus, will promote the LED backlight module market penetration continues to rise. For example, in Acer and DELL (DELl) announced in 2009 will be a substantial use of LED backlight module, estimated in 2009 the global LED NB penetration will jump from 10% in 2008 to 28%, Netbook LED backlight module penetration has reached more than 100%.

The use of LCD LED backlight module has reached the maximum size of 46 inches, but the technology is still a bottleneck in the short term is still difficult to mass production in the TV. In addition, the global mobile phone shipments in 2009 as expected, and the growth of China's cottage mobile phone remains to be seen and other factors, the market value of the mobile phone LED backlight module may also gradually decline.

The extension includes the industry research institute researcher Wei Bader said, Taiwan Japan manufacturers price competition led to decline of white LED 15~25%, plus LED backlight module NB, Netbook products soared in permeability, and large-scale LED lighting market driven by China and outdoor advertising billboards, is expected to stimulate the global LED production value in 2009 substantial growth of 15.7%, a record the record of $8 billion 677 million; Taiwan LED output value will reach $2 billion 314 million, the growth rate of 18.24% is better than the performance of the world. Faced with the challenges of Chinese LED industry, group management and strategic alliances will be the key to the stable market position of Taiwan industry in 2009.

2005~2010 global LED output forecast

White light LED with high luminous efficiency and high brightness, is regarded as an important indicator of LED into the field of lighting, the application of the increasingly wide range. Baird Wei pointed out that in 2009 the white light LED is influenced by the price strategy of Japanese maker Nichia, coupled with the 2008 LED overall market white LED ASP prediction of pile up in excess of requirement, from $0.16 in 2008 fell to $0.14 in 2009. Although the estimated white LED may fall 15%~25%, however, the decline in ASP will help improve market demand, ease the pressure of oversupply. On the other hand, opened by the Beijing Olympics in 2008 LED new application continues to have a fever, and the 2010 Shanghai World Expo and Guangzhou Asian Games and 2011 Shenzhen World University Games coming soon, LED large billboards, driven by the architectural landscape lighting should be used in business, is also the focus of concern of the LED industry in 2009. LED road lighting market, in addition to the international exhibition of fuel, government procurement and implementation of large-scale LED road lighting demonstration project, and LED street lighting specifications have been finalized, the topology prediction of the 2009 global LED lamp market penetration will exceed 1%, entered a rapid growth period began.

As for the application of LED in indoor lighting, LED lighting Wei Bader that 2009 is expected to improve the luminous efficiency to 100lm/W, but the price must go down, can rapid popularization in indoor lighting market. And directly driven by AC AC LED technology, and countries have developed LED lighting regulations and standards, are conducive to the development of LED lighting industry.

Thanks to LED NB and Netbook shipments increased, and the Shanghai World Expo and Guangzhou Asian Games and other international competitions, plus street lamp, projector light source, mobile phone and digital photo applications such as market driven, expected 2009 LED Taiwan plant will be a large number of outdoor billboards and lighting products into order. But in the face of the problem of LED oversupply in 2008, the Taiwan industry will slow down the line expansion mode should be expected to estimate the growth rate of the plant LED supply from 52% in 2008, down to 2009 of 28%.

However, China LED industry and Taiwan manufacturers menacing, often because of technology and patent issues led to the development of the market is limited, Wei believes that Taiwan industry can better stabilize the market through strategic alliance, or like the UMC (UMC), Hon Hai (Foxconn) (Lite On), lite and other enterprises by the group development of the downstream to the upstream to complete the layout and also helps to reduce production costs.

2005~2010 Taiwan LED output forecast

Source: power system

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