April 16th, the National Bureau of statistics released the first quarter of China's economic data.
Due to the global financial crisis, as the world's second largest economy in China, the first quarter of the economic situation of global concern. As for the lighting industry, whether it can be from these data, a rough judgment of the next step in the market?
In the first quarter GDP grew 6.1%
The market is warming trend
Lighting industry is still huge pressure
A quarter of GDP 65745 yuan, calculated at comparable prices, an increase of 6.1%.
In the first quarter, fixed asset investment in fixed assets 28129 yuan, an increase of 28.8%. Among them, the urban fixed asset investment 23562 yuan, an increase of 28.6%; rural fixed assets investment of $456 billion 700 million, an increase of 29.4%.
In the first quarter, foreign trade import and export volume of $428 billion 700 million, down 24.9%. Among them, exports $245 billion 500 million, down 19.7%; imports $183 billion 200 million, down 30.9%.
Review the growth rate of]6.1%, and the target set at the beginning of the 8% yejiyuzeng there is still a gap of second to the fourth quarter, the downward pressure is still great. The substantial increase in fixed investment and the sharp drop in import and export volume is a reflection of the country's efforts to expand domestic demand. Seen in this light, the lighting industry pressure is not reduced, the need to focus on the three or four market consumer market.
[expert voice]
Fang Gang: China's economy is not a big bubble will not be able to guarantee a hard landing eight
Famous economist and Research Fund China economic reform research vice president, national economic institute director Fang Gang said, China 4 trillion yuan economic stimulus program has been initially effective, the government has the ability to maintain 8% growth to achieve economic China.
Yifu Lin: China's economy is expected to take the lead
Yifu Lin, vice president and chief economist of the world bank, said that while China's economy faces severe challenges, it is still expected to recover earlier than other countries.
In the real estate development investment trend: down 28.2% compared to the same period in 2008
Lighting enterprises waiting for the day real estate recovery
1-3 months, the national real estate development investment 488 billion yuan, an increase of 4.1%, an increase of percentage points higher than that of 1-2, down by 28.2 percentage points over the same period last year. Among them, the commodity residential investment 342 billion 200 million yuan, an increase of 3.2%, 2.4 percentage points higher than 1-2 months, down 31.5 percentage points over the same period last year, accounting for real estate investment accounted for 70.1%.
1-3 months, the national real estate development enterprises housing construction area of 1 billion 787 million square meters, an increase of 12.7%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points lower than the 1-2 month, down 14.8 percentage points over the same period last year; new housing construction area of 201 million square meters, down 16.2%, a decline of more than 1-2 month rose 1.4 percentage point.
1-3 months, the national real estate development enterprises to complete the acquisition of land area of 47 million 420 thousand square meters, down by 40.1%, compared with the same period last year, an increase of 29.7%.
The real estate market has a direct impact on the lighting industry. From the data point of view, a quarter of the real estate industry to maintain calm and cautious attitude, which makes lighting and other building materials industry fluctuations. Even from the beginning of the second quarter, the real estate market began to stabilize, the lighting industry will be extended to the second half benefit.
In the ten industrial revitalization planning rules will be introduced
Lighting enterprises to obtain policy benefits
The country's ten major industry revitalization plan officially released, the relevant rules will also be announced.
For the next three years, household appliances, food industry, papermaking, plastics, leather accessories, batteries, lighting appliances, light industry, washing equipment such as the revitalization of key, to 2010, the key light industry structure adjustment and industrial upgrading and achieved remarkable results. Premier Wen Jiabao also pointed out that to further increase efforts to implement the policy of home appliances, household electrical appliances to the countryside to expand the scope of the country, and will be extended to all products home appliances and energy-saving lighting appliances, gas appliances etc....
The planning will continue to improve household appliances, furniture, leather, metal and other light industry 631 of the export tax rebate rate, return to the level before July 1, 2007.
The global market is declining, but Chinese companies should feel lucky and proud, because we are backed by a strong china.
Cai Xu: is it warmer or false
Financial crisis, China's real economy will inevitably suffer heavy losses. China lighting industry operators have been thinking about a problem: in 2009, still a winter, or three months of 2009 Spring is in the air.? We still have in the past, the decline in growth?
Not long ago, the National Bureau of statistics lighting business for the main business of more than 5 million yuan of production and sales statistics, released in 2009 1 to February industry statistics: February, lighting equipment manufacturing industry output value of 11 billion 282 million 710 thousand yuan; the total output value of the first 2 months of 22 billion 78 million 250 thousand yuan, an increase of 13.7%. February sales output value of 10 billion 904 million 890 thousand yuan, the first two months of industrial sales output value of $21 billion 478 million 480 thousand, an increase of 12%.
Regardless of the total industrial output value, or the sales value of view, the growth rate of 1 to February this year, more than 10%, indicating that the overall market capacity of the lighting industry and not because of the financial crisis and a sharp decline. It seems to tell everyone: the industry has warmed up.
However, another set of data allows us to find another problem: the first two months, the lighting appliance manufacturing export delivery value totaled $7 billion 784 million 880 thousand, an increase of -11%
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