LED lighting prospect analysis and risk prediction in 2009-2012

China's LED semiconductor lighting industry started in the early 90s, and always maintain high speed development. In 2008 to join the Chinese Guangxie LED display applications branch member units for the 204, the country has more formal professional production units engaged in 300-400, LED display products in the production of more than 1000 enterprises, engaged in the LED display applications including sales, production, services and other enterprises is estimated not less than 3000.

National LED display as the leading product display applications industry practitioners in the number of around 30 thousand. 2008 national output value of nearly 10 billion yuan. According to industry association of manufacturers in Northeast southwest northwest to central China accounted for 6%, accounted for 17%, accounted for 16% of North China, East China accounted for 41%, Southern China accounted for 20%. from the industrial layout, LED display industry mainly concentrated in eastern and Southern China, the two parts of the overall size of products accounted for over 60% of the country. Due to the rapid development of China's economy and the hosting of the Olympic Games, the LED display industry has a good opportunity for development. Industry in general compared with previous years, there is a significant growth.

LED technology and computer technology and electronic technology by leaps and bounds, LED display technology has shown rapid development. Display color spread from single and double color to color, display content conversion from text images for real-time video display, display control technology development from a single screen display to the network, from the plane to plane shape development. Domestic advanced level of the display and the quality of the international brand level has been similar, most of the domestic mainstream products and international brands of technical indicators are close to the product. But the display MTBF, refresh frequency, brightness uniformity, shell protection grade, safety requirements, EMC, product quality certification, especially the product process and international brand products have a certain gap.

In 2009, domestic LED application vendors are in a critical period. On the one hand, with the global energy crisis, the deterioration of the environment is increasing, governments as the fourth generation light source LED technology gave great support, coupled with the development of LED technology and LED manufacturers efforts, so far, CFFL energy-saving lamps, LED lighting to replace the traditional trend has become the consensus of LED manufacturers will be faced with a very huge market.

On the other hand, many domestic LED industry testing standards has not stood, the fierce competition in the market and disorder, the foreign LED giants, such as CREE, Philips, OSRAM, LED and Chinese are targeting the market actively market layout. There are indications that the next 3-5 years, real LED lighting to replace the traditional lighting era is coming, then LED into thousands of households the market conditions will basically perfect, such as macro policy, industry standards, business model, industry chain maturity, performance index, production scale and so on. By then, the LED industry is bound to undergo a massive reshuffle, market restructuring movement. The application of LED for domestic manufacturers, the first problem to consider is 3-5 years later, when the LED industry fully market-oriented and face a reshuffle, how to suppress domestic manufacturers in the fierce competition and foreign giants crowding out the double pressure to survive, if you survive, and will continue to fight in the market in what role.

At present, the LED industry investment is a hot key projects, the world's LED R & D and production are more attention. LED industry development so far, has experienced many ups and downs. Throughout the development trend of the LED industry, has made remarkable achievements is unquestionable. China has great advantages in the development of LED industry, especially LED display manufacturers. First, China has a large market demand. Secondly, from the point of view of resources, China is rich in nonferrous metal resources. Another is the semiconductor lighting industry is a technology intensive and labor-intensive industries, more suitable for China's national conditions. If China can adhere to the independent innovation in the epitaxial, chip preparation and independent packaging technology, it is possible to realize the leapfrog development of China's semiconductor lighting industry. Expected in 2010 China's LED industry output value will be more than one hundred billion yuan. China is the world's largest producer of lighting and light sources, but mainly in low-end products, accounting for only 18% of the world market, large and not strong.

Development of semiconductor lighting, enhance the international competitiveness of the industry is of great significance. At present, to improve the ability of technology innovation and application development of LED products in China gradually, on the position of device reliability is more and more prominent, test methods and standards Jianxingjianjin, all of which were marked Chinese LED industry has entered a new stage of development. After more than 30 years of development, China's LED industry has initially formed a complete industrial chain, including epitaxial wafer production, chip preparation and packaging, as well as LED product applications.