Li Bingjie: LED did not enter into a large number of opportunities will be lost by 2012

LED NB has developed rapidly since 2008, but when can TV panel backlight smoothly into large size has just begun development, compared to the OLED TV to the colorful and fast response for attracting boutique market, the future new overlord of large size TV product application has not yet determined whether the winner. Li Bingjie, chairman of crystal electricity believes that if the LED in 2012 has not yet entered a large number of TV backlight applications, with the decline in the cost of OLED, then LED will lose foothold.

Samsung Electronics (Samsung ELectronics) in September 2006 to launch a 40 inch LED backlight LCD TV, R, G, B take the 3 color light mixing, followed by the launch of the 1 series of white LED backlight LCD TV in August 2007, but the price is still with the cold cathode fluorescent lamp (CCFL) difference is too large, the industry believes that the second half of 2008 LED TV has a chance to enhance the effectiveness of gradually reduce the spread, and from the 46, 47 inch size began to enter the consumer market, but high priced products can get consumers is still unknown.

OLED TV commercial process is slightly slower than the LED backlight TV products, Sony launched 11 inch OLED TV in December 2007, due to the high price also causes the market overwhelmed, as OLED gradually get into the small and medium size products, and accelerate toward the development of large size, Samsung is also expected in 2009 will enter the OLED TV market, and will start selling 40 inch OLED TV products in 2010.

The OLED is regarded as the successor to TFT-LCD, EPISTAR chairman Li Bingjie said, LED backlight applications can successfully in 2010 successfully into the large market, also is the threshold of market penetration of 1~3% reached 2009~2010, the economic cost is expected to enter the barrier will block OLED large size panel market.

On the contrary, if the LED TV backlight application process delay, color saturation and the advantages of OLED will become thin enough to replace LED with the enemy, 2 in the 5 years after the cost approaching, LED probably will lose a huge market of large size TV backlight.

Li Bingjie pointed out that if the LED backlight penetration rate of TV reached 2% in 2009, estimates LED NB about penetration has increased to 60%, when the LED TV reaches 3% LED NB permeability, permeability will reach nearly 100%, while LED TV penetration rate reached 5%, the current global LED supply will be a serious shortage, the demand the amount equivalent to 4 of global LED capacity.

Source: Electronic Engineering album