Despite the 2009 global economic outlook remains uncertain, but the extension includes the industry research institute researcher Wei Bader said, LED industry will still be one of the great industrial growth in Taiwan next year. The main reason is the expected Taiwan Japan manufacturers price competition will lead to white LED price next year fell 15-25%, plus LED backlight module NB IT soared in the product penetration, and large-scale LED lighting market driven by Chinese and outdoor advertising billboards, these factors will stimulate the expected 2009 global LED output growth of 15.7%, reaching $8 billion 677 million. Among them, the Taiwan LED output next year will reach $2 billion 314 million, an increase of 18.24%, the performance will be better than the global.
The supply capacity, although the benefits of LED NB shipments increased, and the Shanghai World Expo and Guangzhou Asian Games and other international events, plus street lamp, projector light source, mobile phone and digital photo frame applications such as market driven, expected 2009 LED Taiwan plant will be a large number of outdoor billboards and lighting products influx of orders. But Wei Wei believes that the Taiwan LED industry must continue to slow production line expansion in order to continue to ease the situation of oversupply of LED. LED growth rate is expected to plant in 2008 from 52% in 2009, down to $28%.
In the face of China LED industry formidable challenges, padthaway stressed that the group management and strategy alliance, will become the key to the 2009 Taiwan LED industry solid market position. The main reason is Taiwan manufacturers often because of technology and patent issues, led to the development of the market is limited, the future of Taiwan LED companies should be through the strategic alliance to consolidate the market, or like the UMC, Foxconn, Lite, and other large enterprises, from downstream to upstream of the group to complete the layout of the development, will also help Taiwan LED industry reduce production cost.
The topology of production and research in 2009 that the LED industry will still be one of the great growth of industry in Taiwan. Baird Wei pointed out that the white LED has high luminous efficiency and high brightness and other advantages, is regarded as an important index of LED into the lighting field, increasingly wide range of applications. White LED is expected in 2009 will be affected by the price strategy of Japanese maker Nichia, plus LED in 2008 the overall market has the average sales price of white LED pile up in excess of requirement, the product is expected to be $0.16 in 2008, continued to decline to $0.14 in 2009. Although it is expected that the white LED 15%-25% may also decline space next year, but the white LED prices will also help to improve the market demand, and then release the pressure pile up in excess of requirement.
The light guide plate with technology breakthrough, the topology of production and research, LED backlight module market penetration will continue to rise in 2009. Including Acer and DELl have announced in 2009 will be a substantial use of LED backlight module, is expected in 2009 global LED NB penetration, will jump from 10% in 2008, to, Netbook's LED backlight module penetration rate will reach 100%.
As for the use of LCD LED backlight module, although the current maximum size of 46 inches, but there are still bottlenecks in the technology, the short term is still difficult to mass production in the short term, TV. Mobile phone LED backlight module, then by 2009 the global mobile phone shipments as expected, and the growth of the mobile phone Chinese copycat remains to be see effects and other factors, is expected in 2009 global mobile phone LED backlight module market value may decline.
Not only the panel backlight will accelerate the growth of outdoor billboards and lighting two major markets, but also the focus of the LED industry next year. Padthaway believes that the new LED application from the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games, 2009 will continue to develop, with the 2010 Shanghai World Expo and Guangzhou Asian Games and 2011 Shenzhen World University Games and other large activities will debut, is expected to continue LED application opportunities driven by large LED billboards, building landscape lighting.
In addition to important international exhibition, in LED lighting, due to the implementation of government procurement and large-scale LED road lighting demonstration project, and LED street lighting specifications have been finalized, the topology is expected, in 2009 the global LED street market penetration will exceed 1%, begins to step into a period of rapid growth. Indoor lighting applications, Wei Wei believes that the 2009 LED bulb luminous efficiency is expected to increase to 100 lm/W, but the price must go down again, it may be in the indoor lighting market rapid popularization. And directly driven by AC AC LED technology, and countries have developed LED lighting regulations and standards, is expected to contribute to the development of LED lighting industry.
According to the topology of production and research statistics, last year, Taiwan LED industry annual output value of about $1 billion 684 million, the annual growth rate of 16%. This year is expected to grow to $1 billion 957 million, an annual growth rate of about 16.21%. Next year in the white LED will continue to decline, accelerate growth, import LED panel backlight Chinese, large international activities and national environmental protection policy, will drive the global LED lighting and outdoor billboards and other factors pushing up the demand of heating, Taiwan LED industry output is expected to continue to grow to $2 billion 314 million, the annual growth rate is expected to 18.24%. 2010 output value of $2 billion 768 million, an annual growth rate of 19.62%.
Global LED industry output is expected to grow from $7 billion 499 million in 2008 to $8 billion 677 million in 2009, an annual growth rate of $15.7%. 2010 Global LED output is expected to exceed $10 billion, to $10 billion 108 million, the annual growth rate will be raised to 16.5%.
Source: Chinese semiconductor lighting network
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