Global economic recovery point is not clear. However, the topology Research Institute is expected in 2009, the overall LED industry will remain positive growth, has the advantage of energy saving LED will become one of the core industries dominate the market this year. One of the 3 most explosive market, LED street lights, outdoor displays, as well as the use of LED backlight module in the large display market. Expected LED lighting will enter the commercialization stage in 2010 2009; China LED display output value will reach 13 billion 700 million yuan, the annual increase of 37%; LED backlight applications in bursts of NB rapidly after the introduction, expected in 2010 of large size LED backlight development trend will be clear.
In LED street, topology said LED light conversion efficiency is high, and has low power consumption, small volume, light weight, long life and no mercury, no radiation green environmental advantages, with a wide range of applications, including local lighting, backlight, building (landscape) lighting, traffic lighting, medical agricultural and animal husbandry and Fisheries equipment source, so manufacturers favor.
Topology that the lighting manufacturers are committed to improving LED luminous efficiency, and gradually break through the traditional efficient light source development limited, the LED luminous efficiency has reached into the general lighting market degree. On the other hand, is also the important power driven LED lighting development policy, from 2010 to 2014, will be the global ban incandescent lamp production and disable the implementation of the policy period, so in 2009 the governments in order to make the subsequent implementation of the policy, has begun to actively change the traditional outdoor light source.
To China as an example, China this year will be launched "ten city lights" LED street plan, Shenzhen, Chongqing, Chengdu, Tianjin, Mianyang, Zhengzhou and other 21 large and medium-sized city, as in the plan approved by the city, the official policy for product specifications and market rules are clearly defined, LED has become one of the products an important option.
The topology is expected, in 2009 the global LED lamp market demand potential is expected to reach 2 million 500 thousand light, growth of 178%, which accounted for more than 50% Chinese overall demand, about 1 million 400 thousand light. By 2010, LED light effect will go beyond all the traditional light source, the official market into the commercialization stage. But the LED in the lighting market officially entered the mainstream, cost is still the biggest obstacle, even is expected to 2010, LED lighting and traditional lamps in the light of cost, there are still 10 times the price, after 2020 LED fluorescent lamp and the mainstream will, at the same cost of light source.
However, due to the popularity of LED lighting applications is represent the general trend of LED industry, will start from the niche market into the most suitable LED light source characteristics of play, such as auxiliary lighting, professional lighting, outdoor lighting, architectural lighting, commercial lighting and so on, and then gradually expand to the general household lighting market.
LED outdoor display needs, then LED growth fueled. According to the topology analysis of the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games LED screen show is not only highlights the role of China find everything fresh and new, for the power of science and technology demonstration and promote the development of semiconductor lighting industry China. Shanghai science and Technology Commission and the World Expo Group has signed LED lighting projects, is expected in 2010 in Shanghai, World Expo on the LED lighting and outdoor large screen, will be more widely used. Expected in 2009 China's LED display output value will reach 13 billion 700 million yuan, an annual growth of 37%, the number of applications for LED products, the market is the most clear business opportunities.
LED backlight development potential in the large size of the rapid introduction of LED NB backlight technology, the opportunity to burst. Topstone pointed out that for NB products, the LED and CCFL panel price of only $5, so the application of LED backlight is gradually from the higher-order models of products to low-end models into. Although the 2008 LED NB penetration rate is only 14%, but the topology is expected in 2009 will quickly grow to 60%. Coupled with the panel and backlight module factory in the second quarter of this year, the proportion of LED NB shipments are up to more than 70%, is expected by 2010, LED NB penetration will reach up to 95%.
NB panel backlight using the average number of LED to about 35 to calculate the number of 2009, NB backlight LED demand for the number of up to 3 billion 721 million, compared to the year of 2008 in the year 648 million, an annual growth rate of up to 474%. As for the introduction of development status of Monitor and LCD TV, is still not clear, however, the topology that is worth continuing to closely observe. And it can be determined that, in 2010 the development trend of large LED backlight will be clear.
According to the topology calculation, 2009 mobile phone demand of about 1 billion 400 million, is expected to demand for mobile phone panel LED number 4 billion 500 million. 2009 global LED demand of about 27 million 250 thousand units to Netbook backlight requires an average of 30 LED, LED demand for the 800 million Netbook. In 2009 the world's large size LED NB demand of about 70 million units, NB backlight requires an average of 45 LED, LED NB LED demand for the number of 3 billion. TV global demand for LED is expected to be 2 million 500 thousand units in 2009, each LCD TV requires an average of 500 LED calculations, the demand for LED about 1 billion 200 million.
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