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UL Xu Guoyu: the LED revolution is over, the future connectivity is more important

"The LED revolution is over, and today's competition is more about Connection (connectivity)," wrote TechCrunch, a US tech blog. In June 11th, UL Asia Pacific Region Manager Xu Guoyu in LEDinside, Chinese by LED net hosted LEDforum 2016 Chinese international LED market trends Forum speech also cited the "summary" sentence, and said, in the continual evolution of LED industry in the future, connectivity will play a very important role.

In fact, in 2008, LED will be a large-scale introduction of the lighting industry, the development so far, has brought about profound changes. The greater the power of LED, the efficiency, life cycle, energy efficiency is also more and more perfect, and fully applied to a variety of different intelligent products. Xu Guoyu believes that the biggest feature is that in the past few years, prices continued to decline makes the application of LED in a larger field as a possible. The current price has dropped to a critical point, most LED applications have become a more economical choice.

LED Application

In the early days, LED could be accepted by consumers, or because of some unique features, such as LED's ability to operate in a cold environment and energy efficiency. Today, the consumer acceptance of LED or more is because such value LED continues with modest investment reached a basic balance has been paid, the current cycle of most LED application basically can control 2 to 4 years, which is one of the reasons for LED applications to usher in the explosive growth of the. Of course, a substantial decline in the price of LED is also inevitable to bring LED products (including some parts) of the bulk and commercialization.

Throughout the industry, the ongoing price war with patent wars. Xu Guoyu said, based on this, the industry needs to develop new ideas, ways and means to develop new market areas. With COB, high LED, high power display the use of a large number of index LED, the new LED in the field of fashion industry, agricultural lighting, automotive lighting, light emitting, drawing pool, supermarket sales of navigation, phototherapy achieved good breakthrough.

Technological change

From the point of view of technological change, with the development of LED and OLED, but based on the characteristics of OLED itself, its development is far less than LED. Xu Guoyu optimistic estimates, by 2025, the entire OLED lighting market is expected to reach $1 billion 900 million, but by 2019, the market size will not be too large, may be maintained at less than $200 million. In addition, the plate printing and transfer technology makes the application of quantum dots in the lighting and display technology is possible, but in the future still need to make more breakthroughs.

At present, the lighting industry continues to change, but has gradually from the strict sense of the hardware manufacturing conversion to the product integration network, sensor, control device to create the concept of intelligent lighting system. At the same time, the industry is also looking for ways to integrate new technologies into existing infrastructure.

In his speech, Xu Guoyu cited the report data research agency said, in the United States market, 2004 Internet outdoor lighting market penetration of about 1% or so, the market size of about $1 million 690 thousand, or $2 billion 500 million in 2011-2012 years, compound annual growth of more than 40%, of which the wireless network outdoor lamp with 55% market share. Connecting smart lighting market capacity is expected to reach $8 billion in 2020, 2015-2020, the compound annual growth rate of 22%.

For traditional lighting manufacturers, networking outdoor lighting is a good opportunity, but also brings challenges. By lighting lamps and Control & communication device is composed of two parts, the traditional lighting manufacturers need to invest in the control and communication device on a lot of research and investment, but some manufacturers may be on the traditional lamp understanding is not so deep, but have the advantage. Xu Guoyu said that the driving force of networking lighting comes mainly from the power of the end consumer and regulations. In view of the pressure of energy and the increasing energy efficiency standards, each country has put forward some requirements for the networking lighting.

Lighting trends

With the growing maturity of technology, LED lighting applications are more and more, then what will the future development trend? As far as the lighting is concerned, Xu Guoyu believes that it will include intelligent lighting, agricultural and horticultural lighting, wireless control devices, and people-oriented lighting.

Intelligent lamps

The combination of intelligent lighting and the Internet of things makes some unique applications possible. Based on the intelligent home, more and more intelligent devices, such as handheld smart mobile devices, but also can control the switch of many household appliances, door switches, security facilities, such as control.

The first is based on the cloud platform of the intelligent lighting system and analysis system, which allows the device in a remote control of all parts of the world's lighting system and energy saving system possible;

The second is based on the LED positioning system, such as the lamp, LED lamp inside the sensor is installed at the retail store, when the mobile customer in the store, the location can be tracked, in addition, those coupons or special commodity information can also be transmitted to the instant intelligent equipment on the customer. Xu Guoyu believes that these applications are very promising future.

The last one is the wisdom of street lamp, street lamp of wisdom can control the traffic flow in addition to outside, and some control function of the intersection, some cellular communication equipment suppliers are also looking for some methods, through a combination of increased wireless signal into existing street lighting

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