In 2008, China's semiconductor lighting (LED) industry has experienced a period of rapid development, both domestic and overseas investment mergers and integration of upstream and downstream enterprises to accelerate the process at the same time, the traditional lighting companies, state-owned capital, private capital, e-commerce providers have also entered the market. LED industry after 2007 - 2008 industry expansion, the development of relevant standards, the overall development in 2009 will be more orderly. Among them, Chinese, a huge market for the global LED industry to bring unlimited business opportunities, with the LED project to the success of the Olympic Games, World Expo, Asian Games and other major international events in the upcoming, will continue to break new ground in road lighting, landscape lighting, full-color display applications such as a.
Although the semiconductor lighting market performed well last year, but in 2008, the economic downturn makes many companies have to tighten the money, many LED manufacturers are therefore in a state of depression. This situation can not help but worry about whether the semiconductor lighting to maintain strong growth momentum before? Its outstanding performance in 2008 can continue in 2009?
Semiconductor lighting can withstand the impact of recession?
Although previously, a lot of foreign research reports and analysis data show that the second half of 2008, the U.S. and European markets shrink, reduced orders, LED companies are facing uncertainty increased significantly. But there are still many people in the industry believe that, even in such a premise, the semiconductor lighting market in 2009 there will be a good development.
At the beginning of February, NextGen Research of branches at the beginning of the month that ABI Research's global solid-state lighting (Solid State, Lighting, SSL) market annual output value is expected to exceed $33 billion in 2013. According to NextGen's estimates, the average CAGR of lighting products in the LED market during the period 2009 to 2013 (CAGR) will approach.
The Strategies Unlimited is expected, LED penetration into the lighting market trend will continue until 2009, compared with the previous forecast of 35% growth rate, there is still a low growth of 17%. In the long term, the prospects for lighting applications are optimistic.
LED is widely used in building lighting, traffic lighting, instructions and other fields, but also be used in a large number of backlit liquid crystal (LCD), laptop display screen and television fields, etc..
LED LCD backlight market as an example: a new LED LCD backlight investigation report of American authoritative market research firm iSuppli LED said: before the release of the first half of the LCD backlight is more and more applied in the field of backlight LCD TV market in 2008, will be in 2009 in the semiconductor industry is one of the few bright spots. ISuppli is expected in 2009 LED LCD backlight shipments will grow to $163 million on the basis of $51 million in 2008, and forecast in 2012 about $1 billion 400 million of LCD monitors will be used as LCD TV field.
Strategies Unlimited also optimistic about the high brightness LED: if the economy can recover, then in 2010 the high brightness LED market growth will begin to recover. From 2008 to 2013, the compound average annual growth rate of 19.3%, in the year of 2013, the high brightness LED market will reach $12 billion 400 million.
Although the current domestic LED market development is not balanced, LED lighting is still an emerging market in general lighting market, LED is a semiconductor light emitting element, twenty-first Century is recognized as one of the most promising high technology products. Everyone is in urgent need of attention in 2009 products, LED lighting revolution in the lead at the same time, but also to promote energy-saving emission reduction, environmental protection to make a significant contribution.
In 2008, China's chip output growth of 26%, reaching 1 billion 900 million yuan; LED package value reached 18 billion 500 million yuan, up 10% compared to 16 billion 800 million yuan in 2007; in 2008 the application product of our country value has exceeded 45 billion yuan, full-color LED display, solar LED, landscape lighting, consumer electronics, signal indication, backlight application is still the main application areas. (see Figure 1)
2008, the rapid development of domestic outdoor lighting, there are already about one hundred thousand LED demonstration application of street lamps are applied, is expected to soon form an industrial scale. The city's public area lighting has also begun to demonstrate the application of LCD-TV backlight and automotive light has also made some progress. With the government's promotion and global industry echelon transfer, the future of China's LED will become the most attractive market cake.
It is expected that in 2009 the LED industry is expected to have explosive growth, mainly from several aspects. From the demand side, the light guide plate technology makes the LED BLU to enhance penetration, enhance the efficiency of light will accelerate the popularization and application of lighting, but the price is still high; but from the supply side, on the factory price competition and Taiwan factory will make the pile up in excess of requirement prices, but prices will cause the supply of anti puerile to stimulate the market, the demand for continued can relieve pressure increase, accelerate product pile up in excess of requirement, permeability, plus the heating energy, countries will formulate regulations and standards, to promote the development of LED industry, in 2009, consumer driven growth in LED application, enhance the luminous efficiency of lighting to accelerate the popularization, LED lighting market growth opportunities can be expected.
Domestic LED manufacturers need to deal with challenges in 2009
Domestic LED industry in 2008 affected by the financial crisis, mainly reflected in the sudden decline in the global market demand, especially related to export orders. Such shocks for the global LED industry is rare, and its impact is still unable to make a comprehensive assessment.
The impact of the first half of 2009
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