What is the real consumer demand for LED

Talk about the innovation of people will often mention the S curve (S-Curve) theory, which is when after the rapid development of an application or the market, will face a bottleneck in the boom, came to the top of the S curve and S curve, a new shape, and a discontinuous change is present state. Must be through innovation and transformation in order to become a winner, if the control in the lighting development, Edison invented the electric light, is a destructive innovation epoch-making milepost.

From the development of LED industry, the past is the application of the product innovation, from the traditional Christmas lights or infrared visible light transmission, starting in 2000 into the mobile phone backlight brightness, LED only 530mcd, and continue to progress in the large-size backlight application, now has developed a level of 2800mcd. But from the beginning of 2005, the industry will try to high power LED production for the special lighting projection lamps, the luminous efficiency of the initial was below 40lm/W, but this application has pioneered the integration technology in the field of light, electricity, machine, heat and other, prompting LED from the application of innovation into product innovation.

LED industry in creating lighting applications, also created a revenue expansion, but the LED lighting business to expand continuously, it will be difficult to avoid facing the important points, that is the global lighting giant has developed under the cloth patent and brand restrictions. Taiwan LED industry if you want to continue to go up, it is bound to face patent restrictions, resulting in only OEM, or into the S curve model, in the process of transformation and change, choose to be willing to reduce the size of the enterprise.

According to the high brightness LED market development, LED application presents a stable growth, 2007 high brightness LED market size of about $4 billion 600 million, of which the largest application market is handheld products, accounting for about 44% of the proportion of the display billboard lighting only accounted for 17%, accounting for 7%; estimated that by 2009, the market size will grow to $6 billion 800 million, but the applications of handheld proportion dropped to 34%, the scale of reason is not the application market is shrinking, but growth reached saturation and brightness of LED, caused by a continuous improvement to reduce the use of the number of the display proportion is growing up to 27%, the proportion of lighting also grow to 13%.

LED overall size is not explosive growth, but the display and lighting of the 2 blocks are nonlinear growth. According to Strategies unlimited estimates, display applications from $500 million in 2005 will jump in 2012 is expected to grow at $2 billion 700 million, and the lighting applications is expected for the first time exceeded $500 million in 2009, but 2012 will jump approaching $2 billion.

LED lighting in 2005 through application in the early stage, the industry estimated in 2012 will enter the general lighting market in 2007, LED lighting is approximately $300 million, in 2008 will grow to $400 million, but if plus the LED lighting market size is as high as $45 billion. Interestingly, the industry talk about LED mostly focused on white light illumination LED, the European and American countries but in fact talking about is R, G, B three color mixing applications.

For the world's 300 engaged in the use of LED light source industry, currently 3~4 billion of course not, that is a huge market to enter the general lighting application future, but be engaged in LED lighting applications, we must also have the technology, money and patience, when you have 3 conditions, the lighting industry you can jump in a rising star in the.

Although LED lighting is seen as a disruptive innovation applications, but at this stage the industry is always trying to put the LED light source into the traditional lighting, and thus limit the possibility of the development of LED. For example, if the founder of Ford Henry Ford asked his client, the person may need to answer a faster carriage, simply can not think of the future need to make the 4 round run a car, unable to escape the existing stereotype, whenever the LED industry asked customers, hoping to produce what kind of products, customers will need to answer the high brightness products, but we didn't think the LED luminous efficiency reached 75lm/W the performance is sufficient, the focus should be on how to design and application in order to create higher value-added products. Back in 1888 first after Edison invented the light bulb, the promotion of new products focus on how to use, so that the bulb has complimentary to the opinion leaders identity of Congress, and the prerequisite is to determine the electric power supply system to build complete. Today, LED lighting is also positive for the initial application, the market should not be into the retail market, but the government public sector.

But the current application of LED lighting development there are still many problems must be considered at the same time, involved in standards and cooling, optical and electrical design, including color temperature (CT) and flux (Flux), light (Distribution), and LED light source color is also very important, such as parking lot by cold white LED light source, will be reduced the frequency of crime. In addition, LED has the characteristics of directivity of the light source, the original in the Taipei MRT station pioneered the use of LED light source lighting, looks magnificent, but by the nearby residents protest caused life inconvenience, so in the design and application of LED lighting will certainly face light pollution problem.

How to use the LED lighting market in thinking, the industry should have the advantages and characteristics of thinking LED why, one of the main myth of LED is of long service life, there are many businesses claiming to use up to 3~5 million hours, but now the big power LED verified the longest number only about 10 thousand hours, the first generation of LED Philips and Lumileds lighting products launched since the operation is not more than 50 thousand hours. It is easy to overlook the fact that it is not the uncertain future, but the